Analysts expected the ECB to hold off on further easing of monetary policy until more data on wages, economic growth, and productivity becomes available. The central bank had made the decision to trim rates in June, marking its first cut since 2019, based on factors like the inflation outlook, underlying inflation dynamics, and the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission. While the ECB refrained from outlining a specific rate path going forward, market expectations suggest the likelihood of two additional 25 basis point cuts later this year, expected in September and December.
The Governing Council emphasized in its statement that it would continue monitoring inflation trends, underlying dynamics, and monetary policy effectiveness. The central bank also indicated its intent to refrain from committing to a specific rate trajectory. Despite the inflationary concerns, the ECB held a neutral sentiment during the meeting, with a focus on data-driven decisions to address the economic challenges posed by high domestic price pressures and elevated services inflation.
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